Bet with Freshbet →Southampton against QPR: 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton). Southampton (54%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Southampton vs QPR: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.78 | 4.15 | 4.28 |
| Market average | 1.72 | 3.95 | 4.09 |
| Lowest odds | 1.66 | 3.62 | 3.71 |
| Megapari | 1.71 | 4.15 | 4.12 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.14 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.51 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.52 | 2.43 | 38.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.30 | 41.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.40 | 38.6% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 26/10/26, 02:45. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 8.0%.
Megapari odds for this match
Partner odds, updated 27/10/26, 03:18. Click to open the match on the Megapari site. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Southampton 1–1 QPR, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Southampton 6th (20 points), QPR 8th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Southampton 7W 3D 2L (24:12), QPR 5W 5D 2L (20:12).
- H2H: 8 matches: Southampton 7W 0D 1L, goals 17–6.
- Absences: Southampton 0, QPR 0.
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Southampton vs QPR: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Southampton vs QPR: absences and injuries
Southampton
- No reported absences
QPR
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Southampton vs QPR: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Southampton
QPR
Home and away
Southampton vs QPR: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Southampton are 6th with 20 points from 12 matches (7W 3D 2L); QPR are 8th with 20 points (5W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Southampton average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match in the competition; QPR score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
- Form in the competition. Southampton: 7W 3D 2L, goals 24–12; QPR: 5W 5D 2L, goals 20–12.
- Head to head. Of their 8 meetings, Southampton have 7 wins and QPR 1 win, with 0 draws; goals 17–6.
What to expect
We expect Southampton to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (10.0%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.62), which we rate at 62%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 61% and of over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 8; Southampton 7 wins, 0 draws, QPR 1 win.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.9 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Southampton 24–12, QPR 20–12.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 62%.
- Absences: Southampton 0, QPR 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score – yes
Alternative: Both teams to score – yes (probability 61%, best odds 1.57). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Southampton will be without: no absences. QPR are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Southampton vs QPR: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
SouthamptonWDWWLQPRWLWDDSouthampton vs QPR: head to head
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Southampton vs QPR: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Southampton vs QPR?
Our tip on the result is Southampton to win at odds of 1.78, and for goals we suggest Over 2.5 goals at 1.62. The safer option is Southampton or draw (1X).
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Southampton win 54%, draw 23%, QPR win 23%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.
Who will be missing?
Southampton: no absences. QPR: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.62) and of under 2.5 goals 38% (odds 2.52).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 61% (odds 1.57).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (10.0%), followed by 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (8.4%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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