Bet with Freshbet →Lincoln against Birmingham: 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at LNER stadium (Lincoln). We expect a close match. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Lincoln vs Birmingham: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 3.50 | 3.55 | 2.11 |
| Market average | 3.33 | 3.39 | 2.07 |
| Lowest odds | 3.08 | 3.11 | 1.98 |
| Megapari | 3.35 | 3.44 | 2.08 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.91 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.20 | 29.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.3% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 26/10/26, 02:45. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 7.9%.
Megapari odds for this match
Partner odds, updated 27/10/26, 03:18. Click to open the match on the Megapari site. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lincoln 1–1 Birmingham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lincoln 15th (15 points), Birmingham 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Lincoln 4W 3D 5L (13:20), Birmingham 5W 5D 2L (20:12).
- H2H: 3 matches: Lincoln 0W 0D 3L, goals 2–6.
- Absences: Lincoln 0, Birmingham 0.
Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Lincoln vs Birmingham: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lincoln vs Birmingham: absences and injuries
Lincoln
- No reported absences
Birmingham
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Lincoln vs Birmingham: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Lincoln
Birmingham
Home and away
Lincoln vs Birmingham: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Lincoln are 15th with 15 points from 12 matches (4W 3D 5L); Birmingham are 7th with 20 points (5W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Lincoln average 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match in the competition; Birmingham score 1.7 and concede 1.0.
- Form in the competition. Lincoln: 4W 3D 5L, goals 13–20; Birmingham: 5W 5D 2L, goals 20–12.
- Head to head. Of their 3 meetings, Lincoln have 0 wins and Birmingham 3 wins, with 0 draws; goals 2–6.
What to expect
We expect Birmingham to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 1–2, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (12.2%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we rate at 54%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 54% and of over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 3; Lincoln 0 wins, 0 draws, Birmingham 3 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.7 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Lincoln 13–20, Birmingham 20–12.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 50%.
- Absences: Lincoln 0, Birmingham 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative: Under 2.5 goals (probability 50%, best odds 1.91). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Lincoln will be without: no absences. Birmingham are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Lincoln vs Birmingham: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
LincolnWDLLLBirminghamLWWWDLincoln vs Birmingham: head to head
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Lincoln vs Birmingham: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Lincoln vs Birmingham?
Our tip on the result is Draw or Birmingham (X2) at odds of 1.36, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.75. The safer option is Draw or Birmingham (X2).
Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Lincoln win 28%, draw 27%, Birmingham win 45%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 12:30, venue: LNER stadium, Lincoln.
Who will be missing?
Lincoln: no absences. Birmingham: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.95) and of under 2.5 goals 50% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 54% (odds 1.75).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (12.2%), followed by 0–1 (10.6%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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