Bet with Freshbet →Norwich v Watford kicks off on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Carrow Road (Norwich). In our view the favourites are Norwich (58%). Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Norwich vs Watford: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.65 | 4.33 | 5.04 |
| Market average | 1.59 | 4.15 | 4.79 |
| Lowest odds | 1.55 | 3.76 | 4.29 |
| Megapari | 1.59 | 4.30 | 4.79 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 80.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.37 | 39.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.34 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.56 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.28 | 40.7% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 26/10/26, 02:45. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 7.9%.
Megapari odds for this match
Partner odds, updated 27/10/26, 03:18. Click to open the match on the Megapari site. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Norwich 2–1 Watford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Norwich 20th (12 points), Watford 21st (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Norwich 4W 0D 8L (20:22), Watford 3W 2D 7L (10:20).
- H2H: 20 matches: Norwich 9W 0D 11L, goals 34–29.
- Absences: Norwich 0, Watford 0.
Who will win Norwich vs Watford?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Norwich vs Watford: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Norwich vs Watford: absences and injuries
Norwich
- No reported absences
Watford
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Norwich vs Watford: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Norwich
Watford
Home and away
Norwich vs Watford: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Norwich are 20th with 12 points from 12 matches (4W 0D 8L); Watford are 21st with 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Norwich average 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match in the competition; Watford score 0.8 and concede 1.7.
- Form in the competition. Norwich: 4W 0D 8L, goals 20–22; Watford: 3W 2D 7L, goals 10–20.
- Head to head. Of their 20 meetings, Norwich have 9 wins and Watford 11 wins, with 0 draws; goals 34–29.
What to expect
We expect Norwich to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we rate at 61%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 59% and of over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 20; Norwich 9 wins, 0 draws, Watford 11 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 3.2 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Norwich 20–22, Watford 10–20.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 61%.
- Absences: Norwich 0, Watford 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best odds 1.60). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Norwich will be without: no absences. Watford are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Norwich vs Watford: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
NorwichWLLLLWatfordLWLLLNorwich vs Watford: head to head
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Norwich vs Watford: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Norwich vs Watford?
Our tip on the result is Norwich to win at odds of 1.65, and for goals we suggest Over 2.5 goals at 1.57. The safer option is Norwich or draw (1X).
Who will win Norwich vs Watford?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Norwich win 58%, draw 22%, Watford win 19%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 12:30, venue: Carrow Road, Norwich.
Who will be missing?
Norwich: no absences. Watford: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57) and of under 2.5 goals 39% (odds 2.48).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 59% (odds 1.60).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 2–1 (9.9%), followed by 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.0%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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