Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
QPR v Swansea kicks off on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Loftus Road (London), refereed by Sam Allison, England. In our view it is an even contest. Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
QPR vs Swansea: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.50 | 3.49 | 3.03 |
| Market average | 2.42 | 3.34 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.79 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.87 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.23 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: QPR 1–1 Swansea, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: QPR 8th (20 points), Swansea 2nd (23 points).
- Form in the competition: QPR 4W 5D 2L (15:12), Swansea 7W 2D 2L (16:8).
- H2H: 24 matches: QPR 8W 6D 10L, goals 29–32.
- Absences: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
QPR vs Swansea: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
QPR vs Swansea: absences and injuries
QPR
- R. Burrellnot in the squad · will miss the match
- I. Chairmuscle injury · will miss the match
- T. Lampteynot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Madseninjury · will miss the match
- A. S. Mbengueknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Dembeleabsence · doubtful
Swansea
- C. BurgessAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- J. Keymuscle injury · will miss the match
- Ronaldhamstring injury · will miss the match
The list may change before kick-off.
QPR vs Swansea: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
QPR
Swansea
Home and away
QPR vs Swansea: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. QPR are 8th with 20 points from 12 matches (5W 5D 2L); Swansea are 2nd with 23 points (7W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. QPR average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match in the competition; Swansea score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
- Form in the competition. QPR: 4W 5D 2L, goals 15–12; Swansea: 7W 2D 2L, goals 16–8.
- Head to head. Of their 24 meetings, QPR have 8 wins and Swansea 10 wins, with 6 draws; goals 29–32.
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 1–1, so roughly 2 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (12.4%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we rate at 55%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 55% and of over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; QPR 8 wins, 6 draws, Swansea 10 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.5 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: QPR 15–12, Swansea 16–8.
- We expect roughly 2 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 50%.
- Absences: QPR 6, Swansea 3.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative: Under 2.5 goals (probability 50%, best odds 1.92). We expect roughly 2 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
QPR will be without: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Swansea are missing: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. Check the team news again before kick-off.
QPR vs Swansea: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
QPRWLWDDSwanseaLLWWWQPR vs Swansea: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
QPR vs Swansea: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for QPR vs Swansea?
Our tip on the result is QPR or draw (1X) at odds of 1.45, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.73. The safer option is QPR or draw (1X).
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: QPR win 39%, draw 28%, Swansea win 33%.
When and where is the match played?
24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Loftus Road, London. Referee: Sam Allison, England.
Who will be missing?
QPR: R. Burrell, I. Chair, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue, K. Dembele. Swansea: C. Burgess, J. Key, Ronald. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.96) and of under 2.5 goals 50% (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 55% (odds 1.73).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (12.4%), followed by 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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