Bet with Freshbet →Swansea host Blackburn on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea). We see Swansea (53%) as the favourites. Below you will find our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and match analysis.
Swansea vs Blackburn: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.82 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| Market average | 1.74 | 3.58 | 4.44 |
| Lowest odds | 1.68 | 3.32 | 3.95 |
| Megapari | 1.74 | 3.70 | 4.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.28 | 72.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.91 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.87 | 50.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.22 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.90 | 48.7% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 26/10/26, 02:45. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 8.2%.
Megapari odds for this match
Partner odds, updated 27/10/26, 03:18. Click to open the match on the Megapari site. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Swansea 1–0 Blackburn, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 2nd (23 points), Blackburn 10th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Swansea 7W 2D 3L (16:13), Blackburn 5W 3D 4L (19:16).
- H2H: 19 matches: Swansea 9W 4D 6L, goals 30–24.
- Absences: Swansea 0, Blackburn 0.
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Swansea vs Blackburn: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Swansea vs Blackburn: absences and injuries
Swansea
- No reported absences
Blackburn
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Swansea vs Blackburn: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Swansea
Blackburn
Home and away
Swansea vs Blackburn: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Swansea are 2nd with 23 points from 12 matches (7W 2D 3L); Blackburn are 10th with 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Swansea average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match in the competition; Blackburn score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
- Form in the competition. Swansea: 7W 2D 3L, goals 16–13; Blackburn: 5W 3D 4L, goals 19–16.
- Head to head. Of their 19 meetings, Swansea have 9 wins and Blackburn 6 wins, with 4 draws; goals 30–24.
What to expect
We expect Swansea to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–0 (12.3%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.85), which we rate at 51%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 51% and of over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 19; Swansea 9 wins, 4 draws, Blackburn 6 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.8 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Swansea 16–13, Blackburn 19–16.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 49%.
- Absences: Swansea 0, Blackburn 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative: Under 2.5 goals (probability 51%, best odds 1.93). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Swansea will be without: no absences. Blackburn are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Swansea vs Blackburn: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
SwanseaLLWWWBlackburnWLWWDSwansea vs Blackburn: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Swansea vs Blackburn: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Swansea vs Blackburn?
Our tip on the result is Swansea to win at odds of 1.82, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.85. The safer option is Swansea or draw (1X).
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Swansea win 53%, draw 26%, Blackburn win 21%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: no absences. Blackburn: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 2.02) and of under 2.5 goals 51% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 51% (odds 1.85).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–0 (12.3%), followed by 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.1%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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