Bet with Freshbet →Middlesbrough host Charlton on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough). We see Middlesbrough (73%) as the favourites. Below you will find our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and match analysis.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.31 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Market average | 1.27 | 5.57 | 8.87 |
| Lowest odds | 1.22 | 5.00 | 7.05 |
| Megapari | 1.28 | 5.70 | 8.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.11 | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.42 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.71 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.06 | 45.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.82 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 26/10/26, 02:45. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 8.3%.
Megapari odds for this match
Partner odds, updated 27/10/26, 03:18. Click to open the match on the Megapari site. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Middlesbrough 2–0 Charlton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Middlesbrough 1st (25 points), Charlton 19th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Middlesbrough 7W 4D 1L (27:17), Charlton 3W 5D 4L (11:18).
- H2H: 12 matches: Middlesbrough 8W 2D 2L, goals 18–8.
- Absences: Middlesbrough 0, Charlton 0.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: absences and injuries
Middlesbrough
- No reported absences
Charlton
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Home and away
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Middlesbrough are 1st with 25 points from 12 matches (7W 4D 1L); Charlton are 19th with 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Middlesbrough average 2.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match in the competition; Charlton score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
- Form in the competition. Middlesbrough: 7W 4D 1L, goals 27–17; Charlton: 3W 5D 4L, goals 11–18.
- Head to head. Of their 12 meetings, Middlesbrough have 8 wins and Charlton 2 wins, with 2 draws; goals 18–8.
What to expect
We expect Middlesbrough to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 2–0 (11.0%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we rate at 66%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 53% and of over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 12; Middlesbrough 8 wins, 2 draws, Charlton 2 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.2 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Middlesbrough 27–17, Charlton 11–18.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 66%.
- Absences: Middlesbrough 0, Charlton 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, best odds 1.77). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Middlesbrough will be without: no absences. Charlton are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
MiddlesbroughWDWWDCharltonLLDDLMiddlesbrough vs Charlton: head to head
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Middlesbrough vs Charlton: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
Our tip on the result is Middlesbrough to win at odds of 1.31, and for goals we suggest Over 2.5 goals at 1.50. The safer option is Middlesbrough or draw (1X).
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Middlesbrough win 73%, draw 17%, Charlton win 10%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.
Who will be missing?
Middlesbrough: no absences. Charlton: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.50) and of under 2.5 goals 34% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 53% (odds 1.82).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 2–0 (11.0%), followed by 2–1 (9.3%) and 3–0 (9.1%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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