Bet with Freshbet →Bolton v Bristol City kicks off on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton). In our view it is an even contest. Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Bolton vs Bristol City: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.85 | 3.63 | 2.42 |
| Market average | 2.73 | 3.45 | 2.35 |
| Lowest odds | 2.58 | 3.17 | 2.23 |
| Megapari | 2.72 | 3.54 | 2.35 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.22 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.73 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.07 | 45.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.05 | 2.75 | 33.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.57 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 26/10/26, 02:45. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 8.2%.
Megapari odds for this match
Partner odds, updated 27/10/26, 03:18. Click to open the match on the Megapari site. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bolton 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bolton 18th (14 points), Bristol City 14th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Bolton 4W 2D 6L (16:23), Bristol City 4W 3D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 9 matches: Bolton 3W 2D 4L, goals 10–17.
- Absences: Bolton 0, Bristol City 0.
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Bolton vs Bristol City: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bolton vs Bristol City: absences and injuries
Bolton
- No reported absences
Bristol City
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Bolton vs Bristol City: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bolton
Bristol City
Home and away
Bolton vs Bristol City: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Bolton are 18th with 14 points from 12 matches (4W 2D 6L); Bristol City are 14th with 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Bolton average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match in the competition; Bristol City score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
- Form in the competition. Bolton: 4W 2D 6L, goals 16–23; Bristol City: 4W 3D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. Of their 9 meetings, Bolton have 3 wins and Bristol City 4 wins, with 2 draws; goals 10–17.
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 1–2, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.7%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.65), which we rate at 59%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 59% and of over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Bolton 3 wins, 2 draws, Bristol City 4 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 3.0 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Bolton 16–23, Bristol City 12–15.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 55%.
- Absences: Bolton 0, Bristol City 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, best odds 1.83). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Bolton will be without: no absences. Bristol City are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Bolton vs Bristol City: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
BoltonLDWLWBristol CityDLLDWBolton vs Bristol City: head to head
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Bolton vs Bristol City: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Bolton vs Bristol City?
Our tip on the result is Draw or Bristol City (X2) at odds of 1.45, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.65. The safer option is Draw or Bristol City (X2).
Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Bolton win 34%, draw 27%, Bristol City win 39%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton.
Who will be missing?
Bolton: no absences. Bristol City: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.83) and of under 2.5 goals 45% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 59% (odds 1.65).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.7%), followed by 1–2 (8.8%) and 0–1 (8.7%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
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