Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Blackburn against Wrexham: 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Ewood Park (Blackburn), referee Matthew Corlett, England. We expect a close match. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.47 |
| Market average | 3.02 | 3.26 | 2.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.33 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.07 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.67 | 25.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Blackburn 1–1 Wrexham, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Blackburn 10th (18 points), Wrexham 17th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Blackburn 4W 3D 4L (17:16), Wrexham 3W 5D 3L (15:16).
- H2H: 4 matches: Blackburn 2W 1D 1L, goals 7–4.
- Absences: Blackburn 7, Wrexham 7.
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Blackburn vs Wrexham: absences and injuries
Blackburn
- A. Forshawhip injury · will miss the match
- M. Litherlandmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. MillerAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Y. Ohashihamstring injury · will miss the match
- Y. Ribeirohamstring injury · will miss the match
- R. Morishitainjury · doubtful
- S. WhartonAchilles tendon injury · doubtful
Wrexham
- N. Broadheadthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Cacacecalf injury · will miss the match
- M. Cleworthmuscle injury · will miss the match
- S. Revanhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. Windassankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Sheafinjury · doubtful
- G. Thomasonthigh injury · doubtful
The list may change before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Blackburn
Wrexham
Home and away
Blackburn vs Wrexham: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Blackburn are 10th with 18 points from 12 matches (5W 3D 4L); Wrexham are 17th with 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Blackburn average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match in the competition; Wrexham score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
- Form in the competition. Blackburn: 4W 3D 4L, goals 17–16; Wrexham: 3W 5D 3L, goals 15–16.
- Head to head. Of their 4 meetings, Blackburn have 2 wins and Wrexham 1 win, with 1 draw; goals 7–4.
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 1–1, so roughly 2 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (12.9%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Interestingly, the table points towards the Blackburn, while the market gives slightly better chances to the away side. That makes the match hard to read, so more cautious bets make sense.
Our goals tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), which we rate at 54%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 52% and of over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Blackburn 2 wins, 1 draw, Wrexham 1 win.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.8 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Blackburn 17–16, Wrexham 15–16.
- We expect roughly 2 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 46%.
- Absences: Blackburn 7, Wrexham 7.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score – yes
Alternative: Both teams to score – yes (probability 52%, best odds 1.85). We expect roughly 2 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Blackburn will be without: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro, R. Morishita, S. Wharton. Wrexham are missing: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, S. Revan, J. Windass, B. Sheaf, G. Thomason. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Blackburn vs Wrexham: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
BlackburnWLWWDWrexhamLWLDWBlackburn vs Wrexham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Blackburn vs Wrexham: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Our tip on the result is Draw or Wrexham (X2) at odds of 1.44, and for goals we suggest Under 2.5 goals at 1.79. The safer option is Draw or Wrexham (X2).
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Blackburn win 31%, draw 29%, Wrexham win 40%.
When and where is the match played?
24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn. Referee: Matthew Corlett, England.
Who will be missing?
Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro, R. Morishita, S. Wharton. Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, S. Revan, J. Windass, B. Sheaf, G. Thomason. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.18) and of under 2.5 goals 54% (odds 1.79).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 52% (odds 1.85).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (12.9%), followed by 0–1 (11.2%) and 1–0 (9.9%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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