Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Birmingham against QPR: 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham), referee Thomas Kirk, England. Birmingham (48%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Birmingham vs QPR: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.99 | 3.70 | 3.87 |
| Market average | 1.96 | 3.53 | 3.66 |
| Lowest odds | 1.93 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.94 | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.06 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 45.7% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Birmingham 1–1 QPR, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Birmingham 7th (20 points), QPR 8th (20 points).
- Absences: Birmingham 0, QPR 0.
Who will win Birmingham vs QPR?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Birmingham vs QPR: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Birmingham vs QPR: absences and injuries
Birmingham
- No reported absences
QPR
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Birmingham vs QPR: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Birmingham
QPR
Home and away
Birmingham vs QPR: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Birmingham are 7th with 20 points from 12 matches (5W 5D 2L); QPR are 8th with 20 points (5W 5D 2L).
What to expect
We expect Birmingham to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.8%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we rate at 54%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 54% and of over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 52%.
- Absences: Birmingham 0, QPR 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, best odds 1.87). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Birmingham will be without: no absences. QPR are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
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Birmingham vs QPR: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Birmingham vs QPR?
Our tip on the result is Birmingham to win at odds of 1.99, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.73. The safer option is Birmingham or draw (1X).
Who will win Birmingham vs QPR?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Birmingham win 48%, draw 27%, QPR win 26%.
When and where is the match played?
17 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham. Referee: Thomas Kirk, England.
Who will be missing?
Birmingham: no absences. QPR: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.87) and of under 2.5 goals 48% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 54% (odds 1.73).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.8%), followed by 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.5%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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