Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
West Ham against Southampton: 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at London Stadium (London), referee Michael Salisbury, England. West Ham (56%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
West Ham vs Southampton: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.75 | 4.30 | 4.60 |
| Market average | 1.69 | 4.14 | 4.43 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 83.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.46 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.58 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.18 | 43.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 5.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: West Ham 2–1 Southampton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: West Ham 3rd (22 points), Southampton 6th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: West Ham 6W 4D 1L (30:12), Southampton 6W 3D 2L (21:10).
- H2H: 29 matches: West Ham 13W 8D 8L, goals 45–31.
- Absences: West Ham 1, Southampton 3.
Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
West Ham vs Southampton: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
West Ham vs Southampton: absences and injuries
West Ham
- K. Lamadridinjury · will miss the match
Southampton
- M. Roerslev Rasmussenabsence · will miss the match
- F. Downesankle injury · doubtful
- C. Larinhamstring injury · doubtful
The list may change before kick-off.
West Ham vs Southampton: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
West Ham
Southampton
Home and away
West Ham vs Southampton: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. West Ham are 3rd with 22 points from 12 matches (6W 4D 2L); Southampton are 6th with 20 points (7W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. West Ham average 2.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match in the competition; Southampton score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
- Form in the competition. West Ham: 6W 4D 1L, goals 30–12; Southampton: 6W 3D 2L, goals 21–10.
- Head to head. Of their 29 meetings, West Ham have 13 wins and Southampton 8 wins, with 8 draws; goals 45–31.
What to expect
We expect West Ham to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 2–1 (9.8%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.53), which we rate at 64%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 63% and of over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 29; West Ham 13 wins, 8 draws, Southampton 8 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.6 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: West Ham 30–12, Southampton 21–10.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 64%.
- Absences: West Ham 1, Southampton 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score – yes
Alternative: Both teams to score – yes (probability 63%, best odds 1.50). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
West Ham will be without: K. Lamadrid. Southampton are missing: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, F. Downes, C. Larin. Check the team news again before kick-off.
West Ham vs Southampton: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
West HamLWWDDSouthamptonWDWWLWest Ham vs Southampton: head to head
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West Ham vs Southampton: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for West Ham vs Southampton?
Our tip on the result is West Ham to win at odds of 1.75, and for goals we suggest Over 2.5 goals at 1.53. The safer option is West Ham or draw (1X).
Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: West Ham win 56%, draw 23%, Southampton win 21%.
When and where is the match played?
24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: London Stadium, London. Referee: Michael Salisbury, England.
Who will be missing?
West Ham: K. Lamadrid. Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, F. Downes, C. Larin. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.53) and of under 2.5 goals 36% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 63% (odds 1.50).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 2–1 (9.8%), followed by 1–1 (9.5%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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