Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Swansea v West Ham kicks off on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea), refereed by Josh Smith, England. In our view it is an even contest. Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Swansea vs West Ham: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 3.54 | 3.76 | 2.20 |
| Market average | 3.24 | 3.60 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.73 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.06 | 45.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.75 | 33.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.20 | 42.1% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Swansea 1–1 West Ham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Swansea 2nd (23 points), West Ham 3rd (22 points).
- Absences: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.
Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Swansea vs West Ham: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Swansea vs West Ham: absences and injuries
Swansea
- No reported absences
West Ham
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Swansea vs West Ham: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Swansea
West Ham
Home and away
Swansea vs West Ham: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Swansea are 2nd with 23 points from 12 matches (7W 2D 3L); West Ham are 3rd with 22 points (6W 4D 2L).
What to expect
We expect West Ham to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 1–2, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.6%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we rate at 58%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 58% and of over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 54%.
- Absences: Swansea 0, West Ham 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, best odds 1.76). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Swansea will be without: no absences. West Ham are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
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Swansea vs West Ham: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Swansea vs West Ham?
Our tip on the result is Draw or West Ham (X2) at odds of 1.40, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.62. The safer option is Draw or West Ham (X2).
Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Swansea win 29%, draw 26%, West Ham win 45%.
When and where is the match played?
17 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Referee: Josh Smith, England.
Who will be missing?
Swansea: no absences. West Ham: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.76) and of under 2.5 goals 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 58% (odds 1.62).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.6%), followed by 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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