Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stoke City v Bristol City kicks off on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at bet365 Stadium (Stoke-On-Trent), refereed by James Bell, England. In our view it is an even contest. Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.47 | 3.35 | 3.24 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.24 | 3.03 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.74 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.62 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.79 | 51.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 48.1% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 24/10/26, 13:58. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stoke City 9th (20 points), Bristol City 14th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Stoke City 6W 1D 4L (18:16), Bristol City 4W 2D 5L (12:15).
- H2H: 18 matches: Stoke City 6W 3D 9L, goals 22–23.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Stoke City vs Bristol City: absences and injuries
Stoke City
- A. Ampahknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Bocatinjury · will miss the match
- A. Cresswellknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Gallagherinjury · will miss the match
- S. Ingelssonmuscle injury · will miss the match
Bristol City
- R. Dickieknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Eileillness · will miss the match
- E. Adebayonot in the squad · doubtful
The list may change before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Stoke City
Bristol City
Home and away
Stoke City vs Bristol City: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Stoke City are 9th with 20 points from 12 matches (6W 2D 4L); Bristol City are 14th with 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Stoke City average 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match in the competition; Bristol City score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
- Form in the competition. Stoke City: 6W 1D 4L, goals 18–16; Bristol City: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–15.
- Head to head. Of their 18 meetings, Stoke City have 6 wins and Bristol City 9 wins, with 3 draws; goals 22–23.
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 1–1, so roughly 2 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (12.7%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.78), which we rate at 54%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 52% and of over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 18; Stoke City 6 wins, 3 draws, Bristol City 9 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.5 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Stoke City 18–16, Bristol City 12–15.
- We expect roughly 2 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 46%.
- Absences: Stoke City 5, Bristol City 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score – yes
Alternative: Both teams to score – yes (probability 52%, best odds 1.83). We expect roughly 2 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Stoke City will be without: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City are missing: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Stoke City vs Bristol City: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
Stoke CityDWLWWBristol CityDLLDWStoke City vs Bristol City: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Stoke City vs Bristol City: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
Our tip on the result is Stoke City or draw (1X) at odds of 1.44, and for goals we suggest Under 2.5 goals at 1.78. The safer option is Stoke City or draw (1X).
Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Stoke City win 40%, draw 29%, Bristol City win 31%.
When and where is the match played?
24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Referee: James Bell, England.
Who will be missing?
Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher, S. Ingelsson. Bristol City: R. Dickie, N. Eile, E. Adebayo. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.16) and of under 2.5 goals 54% (odds 1.78).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 52% (odds 1.83).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (12.7%), followed by 1–0 (11.1%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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