Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Portsmouth against Millwall: 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Fratton Park (Portsmouth), referee Tom Reeves, England. We expect a close match. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.50 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Market average | 2.47 | 3.27 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.96 | 48.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.48 | 3.32 | 28.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 24/10/26, 10:03. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Portsmouth 1–1 Millwall, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Portsmouth 11th (18 points), Millwall 13th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Portsmouth 4W 3D 4L (14:14), Millwall 4W 3D 4L (18:18).
- H2H: 9 matches: Portsmouth 3W 0D 6L, goals 10–11.
- Absences: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Portsmouth vs Millwall: absences and injuries
Portsmouth
- K. Andersonabsence · will miss the match
- B. Arthurback injury · will miss the match
- C. Bishopknee injury · will miss the match
- L. Brooke-Smithankle injury · will miss the match
- M. Kosznovszkyknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Murphygroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Ogilvieknee injury · will miss the match
- C. Shaughnessyinjury · will miss the match
- J. Swiftknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Umehhamstring injury · will miss the match
Millwall
- J. Coburnmuscle injury · will miss the match
- C. De Norremuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Jensenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Luongoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Marschallinjury · will miss the match
- M. Servaisnot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Arconteankle injury · doubtful
- M. Ivanovichamstring injury · doubtful
The list may change before kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Portsmouth
Millwall
Home and away
Portsmouth vs Millwall: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Portsmouth are 11th with 18 points from 12 matches (5W 3D 4L); Millwall are 13th with 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Portsmouth average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match in the competition; Millwall score 1.6 and concede 1.6.
- Form in the competition. Portsmouth: 4W 3D 4L, goals 14–14; Millwall: 4W 3D 4L, goals 18–18.
- Head to head. Of their 9 meetings, Portsmouth have 3 wins and Millwall 6 wins, with 0 draws; goals 10–11.
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 1–1, so roughly 2 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (12.5%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we rate at 54%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 54% and of over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Portsmouth 3 wins, 0 draws, Millwall 6 wins.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.3 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Portsmouth 14–14, Millwall 18–18.
- We expect roughly 2 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 48%.
- Absences: Portsmouth 10, Millwall 8.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, best odds 1.87). We expect roughly 2 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Portsmouth will be without: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Millwall are missing: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Portsmouth vs Millwall: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
PortsmouthWDWWLMillwallLDLWDPortsmouth vs Millwall: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Portsmouth vs Millwall: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Portsmouth vs Millwall?
Our tip on the result is Portsmouth or draw (1X) at odds of 1.44, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.75. The safer option is Portsmouth or draw (1X).
Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Portsmouth win 38%, draw 29%, Millwall win 33%.
When and where is the match played?
24 October 2026 at 12:30, venue: Fratton Park, Portsmouth. Referee: Tom Reeves, England.
Who will be missing?
Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, C. Shaughnessy, J. Swift, F. Umeh. Millwall: J. Coburn, C. De Norre, L. Jensen, M. Luongo, F. Marschall, M. Servais, T. Arconte, M. Ivanovic. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.02) and of under 2.5 goals 52% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 54% (odds 1.75).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (12.5%), followed by 1–0 (10.0%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting involves risk. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win. Please gamble responsibly.