Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Norwich against Portsmouth: 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Carrow Road (Norwich), referee Gavin Ward, England. Norwich (51%) go into the match as favourites. Here you will find our tip, result probabilities, absences and analysis.
Norwich vs Portsmouth: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.88 | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.03 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.88 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 54.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.07 | 45.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.73 | 33.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.8% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Norwich 20th (12 points), Portsmouth 11th (18 points).
- Absences: Norwich 0, Portsmouth 0.
Who will win Norwich vs Portsmouth?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Norwich vs Portsmouth: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Norwich vs Portsmouth: absences and injuries
Norwich
- No reported absences
Portsmouth
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Norwich vs Portsmouth: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Norwich
Portsmouth
Home and away
Norwich vs Portsmouth: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Norwich are 20th with 12 points from 12 matches (4W 0D 8L); Portsmouth are 11th with 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
What to expect
We expect Norwich to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect an open match with goals.
Interestingly, the table points towards the Portsmouth, while the market gives slightly better chances to the home side. That makes the match hard to read, so more cautious bets make sense.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.67), which we rate at 56%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 56% and of over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 55%.
- Absences: Norwich 0, Portsmouth 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, best odds 1.76). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Norwich will be without: no absences. Portsmouth are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
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Norwich vs Portsmouth: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Our tip on the result is Norwich to win at odds of 1.88, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.67. The safer option is Norwich or draw (1X).
Who will win Norwich vs Portsmouth?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Norwich win 51%, draw 25%, Portsmouth win 23%.
When and where is the match played?
17 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Carrow Road, Norwich. Referee: Gavin Ward, England.
Who will be missing?
Norwich: no absences. Portsmouth: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.76) and of under 2.5 goals 45% (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 56% (odds 1.67).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.1%), followed by 1–0 (10.1%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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