Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Millwall v Lincoln kicks off on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at The Den (London), refereed by Ruebyn Ricardo. In our view the favourites are Millwall (55%). Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Millwall vs Lincoln: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.78 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.83 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.81 | 52.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.30 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.84 | 50.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.84 | 50.0% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 17/10/26, 10:01. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Millwall 1–0 Lincoln, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Millwall 13th (15 points), Lincoln 15th (15 points).
- Absences: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Millwall vs Lincoln: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Millwall vs Lincoln: absences and injuries
Millwall
- No reported absences
Lincoln
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Millwall vs Lincoln: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Millwall
Lincoln
Home and away
Millwall vs Lincoln: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Millwall are 13th with 15 points from 12 matches (4W 3D 5L); Lincoln are 15th with 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
What to expect
We expect Millwall to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–0 (12.9%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Our goals tip: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), which we rate at 52%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 50% and of over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 48%.
- Absences: Millwall 0, Lincoln 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score – no
Alternative: Both teams to score – no (probability 50%, best odds 1.86). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Millwall will be without: no absences. Lincoln are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
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Millwall vs Lincoln: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our tip on the result is Millwall to win at odds of 1.78, and for goals we suggest Under 2.5 goals at 1.84. The safer option is Millwall or draw (1X).
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Millwall win 55%, draw 25%, Lincoln win 20%.
When and where is the match played?
17 October 2026 at 12:30, venue: The Den, London. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Who will be missing?
Millwall: no absences. Lincoln: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.06) and of under 2.5 goals 52% (odds 1.84).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 50% (odds 1.85).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–0 (12.9%), followed by 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.6%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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