Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Middlesbrough v Cardiff kicks off on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough), refereed by Tom Nield, England. In our view the favourites are Middlesbrough (64%). Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 1.53 | 5.25 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.46 | 4.87 | 5.52 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.07 | 86.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.32 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.53 | 3.13 | 29.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.85 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.61 | 35.6% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 17/10/26, 10:01. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Middlesbrough 2–1 Cardiff, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Middlesbrough 1st (25 points), Cardiff 16th (14 points).
- Absences: Middlesbrough 0, Cardiff 0.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: absences and injuries
Middlesbrough
- No reported absences
Cardiff
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Middlesbrough
Cardiff
Home and away
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Middlesbrough are 1st with 25 points from 12 matches (7W 4D 1L); Cardiff are 16th with 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
What to expect
We expect Middlesbrough to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 2–1 (9.4%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we rate at 64%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 64% and of over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 70%.
- Absences: Middlesbrough 0, Cardiff 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative: Over 3.5 goals (probability 51%, best odds 1.91). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Middlesbrough will be without: no absences. Cardiff are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
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Middlesbrough vs Cardiff: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
Our tip on the result is Middlesbrough to win at odds of 1.53, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.50. The safer option is Middlesbrough or draw (1X).
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Middlesbrough win 64%, draw 19%, Cardiff win 17%.
When and where is the match played?
17 October 2026 at 12:30, venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. Referee: Tom Nield, England.
Who will be missing?
Middlesbrough: no absences. Cardiff: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 70% (odds 1.40) and of under 2.5 goals 30% (odds 3.53).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 64% (odds 1.50).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 2–1 (9.4%), followed by 1–1 (7.9%) and 2–0 (7.9%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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