Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Burnley host Wolves on 16 October 2026 · 20:00 at Turf Moor (Burnley), with Lewis Smith, England as referee. We see the match as evenly balanced. Below you will find our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and match analysis.
Burnley vs Wolves: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 3.07 | 3.60 | 2.35 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 3.51 | 2.26 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.76 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.03 | 46.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.81 | 33.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.21 | 42.0% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 16/10/26, 18:00. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Burnley 1–1 Wolves, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Burnley 22nd (8 points), Wolves 4th (21 points).
- Absences: Burnley 0, Wolves 0.
Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Burnley vs Wolves: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Burnley vs Wolves: absences and injuries
Burnley
- No reported absences
Wolves
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Burnley vs Wolves: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burnley
Wolves
Home and away
Burnley vs Wolves: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Burnley are 22nd with 8 points from 12 matches (1W 5D 6L); Wolves are 4th with 21 points (6W 3D 3L).
What to expect
We expect an even match: our score estimate is 1–2, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect an open match with goals.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we rate at 58%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 58% and of over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Key points of the prediction
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 54%.
- Absences: Burnley 0, Wolves 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, best odds 1.85). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Burnley will be without: no absences. Wolves are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
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Burnley vs Wolves: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Burnley vs Wolves?
Our tip on the result is Draw or Wolves (X2) at odds of 1.36, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.62. The safer option is Draw or Wolves (X2).
Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Burnley win 32%, draw 27%, Wolves win 42%.
When and where is the match played?
16 October 2026 at 20:00, venue: Turf Moor, Burnley. Referee: Lewis Smith, England.
Who will be missing?
Burnley: no absences. Wolves: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.85) and of under 2.5 goals 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 58% (odds 1.62).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (11.9%), followed by 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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