Bet with Freshbet →Burnley v Portsmouth kicks off on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Turf Moor (Burnley). In our view the favourites are Burnley (46%). Further down you will find the tip, the chances of each result, absences and a breakdown of the match.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: odds comparison
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best odds on the market | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| Market average | 2.02 | 3.40 | 3.41 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| Megapari | 2.03 | 3.48 | 3.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 73.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.89 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.15 | 29.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.5% |
The odds summarise prices from several bookmakers, updated 26/10/26, 02:45. They are a guide only and may differ at a given operator. Average margin 8.3%.
Megapari odds for this match
Partner odds, updated 27/10/26, 03:18. Click to open the match on the Megapari site. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Burnley 1–1 Portsmouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Burnley 22nd (8 points), Portsmouth 11th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Burnley 1W 5D 6L (17:25), Portsmouth 5W 3D 4L (16:15).
- H2H: 4 matches: Burnley 2W 1D 1L, goals 7–3.
- Absences: Burnley 0, Portsmouth 0.
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
The estimate is based on odds from several bookmakers with the margin removed. It is not a guarantee of the result.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: more tips and betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the best odds are higher than the fair odds, the price offers value. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider below 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Burnley vs Portsmouth: absences and injuries
Burnley
- No reported absences
Portsmouth
- No reported absences
The list may change before kick-off.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: table and team form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7-4-1 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7-2-3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6-4-2 | 32:15 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6-3-3 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6-3-3 | 16:13 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7-3-2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5-5-2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6-2-4 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5-3-4 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5-3-4 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4-4-4 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4-3-5 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4-3-5 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4-3-5 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3-5-4 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3-5-4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4-0-8 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3-2-7 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1-5-6 | 17:25 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1-4-7 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Burnley
Portsmouth
Home and away
Burnley vs Portsmouth: match analysis
Why we made this tip
- Table. Burnley are 22nd with 8 points from 12 matches (1W 5D 6L); Portsmouth are 11th with 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Burnley average 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match in the competition; Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
- Form in the competition. Burnley: 1W 5D 6L, goals 17–25; Portsmouth: 5W 3D 4L, goals 16–15.
- Head to head. Of their 4 meetings, Burnley have 2 wins and Portsmouth 1 win, with 1 draw; goals 7–3.
What to expect
We expect Burnley to have the upper hand: our score estimate is 2–1, so roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely result is 1–1 (12.0%). We expect a fairly even contest.
Interestingly, the table points towards the Portsmouth, while the market gives slightly better chances to the home side. That makes the match hard to read, so more cautious bets make sense.
Our goals tip: Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we rate at 54%. We put the chance of both teams scoring at 54% and of over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Key points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Burnley 2 wins, 1 draw, Portsmouth 1 win.
- Their meetings have averaged 2.5 goals per match.
- Goals for and against in the competition: Burnley 17–25, Portsmouth 16–15.
- We expect roughly 3 goals; the chance of over 2.5 goals is 50%.
- Absences: Burnley 0, Portsmouth 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative: Over 2.5 goals (probability 50%, best odds 1.93). We expect roughly 3 goals, which supports this tip.
Absences
Burnley will be without: no absences. Portsmouth are missing: no absences. Check the team news again before kick-off.
Burnley vs Portsmouth: team comparison
The values are based on this season's matches so far, so the sample is still small.
Form in the competition
BurnleyLLDWDPortsmouthWDWWLBurnley vs Portsmouth: head to head
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Burnley vs Portsmouth: frequently asked questions
What is the tip for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
Our tip on the result is Burnley to win at odds of 2.12, and for goals we suggest Both teams to score at 1.73. The safer option is Burnley or draw (1X).
Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?
By our estimate, the probabilities are: Burnley win 46%, draw 27%, Portsmouth win 27%.
When and where is the match played?
31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue: Turf Moor, Burnley.
Who will be missing?
Burnley: no absences. Portsmouth: no absences. The list may change before the match.
Will there be more than 2.5 goals?
By our estimate, the chance of over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.93) and of under 2.5 goals 50% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
We estimate the probability of both teams scoring at 54% (odds 1.73).
What is the most likely correct score?
The most likely score is 1–1 (12.0%), followed by 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How are your predictions made?
We derive the probabilities from the odds of several bookmakers: we remove the margin and average the prices, then calculate the expected goals and the most likely scores with a Poisson distribution. Team form, head to head and absences are on the page as context. Our predictions are for information only and do not guarantee a win.
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